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Which sportsbooks lead line moves? We tracked every price change at 23 books

When one book moves a game line, how far does the rest of the market follow? Two weeks of every moneyline, spread and total price change say Bet105 and BetUS lead, Pinnacle's moves stick, and the market barely follows prediction markets.

By Jacob · October 26, 2026 · 6 min read

What top sportsbooks charge on parlays

Single bets are cheap, parlays stack the cost, and same-game parlays cost far more than the books' own math says.

By Jacob · October 9, 2026 · 9 min read

We graded 3,363 NBA playoff player props. The over hit 45% of them.

A prop line is meant to be a coin flip. Across the 2026 playoffs the over lost in every stat, most of it in blowouts, and no player beat the line by more than luck allows.

By Parker · October 8, 2026 · 8 min read

Everybody knows comebacks don't work. Nobody has actually checked.

Unretirement is one of the oldest stories in sports and one of the least examined. The obvious way to measure it answers a different question than the one being asked.

By Parker · September 1, 2026 · 7 min read

The Florida State theory, tested on 1,560 college football openers

Everyone knows a good team that loses its opener as a favorite is broken. Nobody had ever checked, so we built the dataset and checked.

By Parker · August 30, 2026 · 9 min read

The NBA publishes a power ranking every August and hides it in the Christmas schedule

Eighteen years of Christmas Day slates matched against how each season ended: a real forecast with one famous blind spot, a rule about who gets dropped, and the longest bet the league ever made finally paying out at the Garden.

By Parker · August 12, 2026 · 8 min read