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NFL best bets Thursday: the biggest price gaps and +EV lines
Betwatch does not pick winners. The NFL has no game in the next 24 hours, so this page shows the next game day, Thursday, Nov 12: the biggest price differences between US sportsbooks on the same line, on moneylines, spreads and totals. The biggest gap: New York Giants moneyline (NFL, Washington Commanders at New York Giants, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET): -130 at Hard Rock Bet against -140 at Fanatics, a 1.8-point gap in implied chance and $5.49 more profit on a $100 bet.
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Updated Wed, Nov 11, 3:46 AM ET
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- +EV board NFL lines
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Next games: Thursday
The biggest price gaps on Thursday
Every game on the Live BoardThe same bet on the same line, at the US sportsbook paying most and the one paying least, on Thursday, Nov 12, biggest gap in implied chance first.
| Bet | Game | Start | Best price | Lowest price | More on $100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Giants moneyline | NFL: Washington Commanders at New York Giants | Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET | -130 (best price) Hard Rock Bet | -140 Fanatics | $5.49 |
| NFL: Washington Commanders at New York Giants, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET | |||||
| Washington Commanders +2.5 spread | NFL: Washington Commanders at New York Giants | Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET | -108 (best price) BetMGM | -115 theScore Bet | $5.64 |
| NFL: Washington Commanders at New York Giants, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET | |||||
| Over 41 total points | NFL: Washington Commanders at New York Giants | Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET | -110 (best price)Fanatics | -114 Caesars | $3.19 |
| NFL: Washington Commanders at New York Giants, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET | |||||
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Open the +EV boardPrices above the no-vig fair price built from the sharpest books. An edge on average over many bets, not a promise on one.
Right now the +EV board lists 297 NFL game lines. A free account opens each one, with its fair chance and its edge.
How to read this page
A price gap is how much more one US sportsbook pays than another on the same bet at the same line. The list is ranked by the gap in implied chance, the fairest way to compare a favorite with an underdog. "More on $100" is the extra profit a winning $100 bet earns at the best price instead of the lowest.
A +EV line pays more than its fair chance of winning is worth. The fair chance comes from the sharpest books with their margin removed. Both are prices, not predictions.
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Questions
What are the best NFL bets Thursday?
Betwatch does not make picks. What it shows is price: the same bet pays more at some books than others. The biggest NFL gaps on Thursday, Nov 12: New York Giants moneyline (NFL, Washington Commanders at New York Giants, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET): -130 at Hard Rock Bet against -140 at Fanatics, a 1.8-point gap in implied chance and $5.49 more profit on a $100 bet. Washington Commanders +2.5 spread (NFL, Washington Commanders at New York Giants, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET): -108 at BetMGM against -115 at theScore Bet, a 1.6-point gap in implied chance and $5.64 more profit on a $100 bet. Over 41 total points (NFL, Washington Commanders at New York Giants, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET): -110 at Fanatics against -114 at Caesars, a 0.9-point gap in implied chance and $3.19 more profit on a $100 bet.
Give me 3 best bets for the NFL Thursday
No one can promise a winner. These are the NFL lines on Thursday, Nov 12 where the price stands out most: New York Giants moneyline (NFL, Washington Commanders at New York Giants, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET): -130 at Hard Rock Bet against -140 at Fanatics, a 1.8-point gap in implied chance and $5.49 more profit on a $100 bet. Washington Commanders +2.5 spread (NFL, Washington Commanders at New York Giants, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET): -108 at BetMGM against -115 at theScore Bet, a 1.6-point gap in implied chance and $5.64 more profit on a $100 bet. Over 41 total points (NFL, Washington Commanders at New York Giants, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET): -110 at Fanatics against -114 at Caesars, a 0.9-point gap in implied chance and $3.19 more profit on a $100 bet.
What is a +EV bet?
A bet whose price pays more than its fair chance of winning is worth: the price beats the no-vig fair price built from the sharpest books. It is an edge on average over many bets, never a sure win on one.
Why does the same bet pay more at one sportsbook?
Each book sets and moves its own prices. Taking the best price on every bet, rather than the price at one book, is the simplest way to lose less to the vig.